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ALE / SLE / ARO Risk Calculator

The standard quantitative risk formula: how much a specific risk is expected to cost your organization per year, projected over the time you'll actually carry it, and whether fixing it is worth the price.

SLE (Single Loss Expectancy)
$0
SLE = AV × EF
ALE (Annualized Loss Expectancy)
$0
ALE = SLE × ARO

Project it over time

A rare-but-severe risk can look small as a single annual number but add up to something very real over however many years you'll actually be exposed to it. This is the number that belongs in a capital-expense conversation, not the bare annual ALE.

Total Expected Loss over 5 years
$0
Total = ALE × years

What this tells you

If a proposed security control costs less than the ALE it addresses - or, for a one-time fix, less than the total loss expected over however many years you'd otherwise carry the risk - it's generally worth implementing. This is the core logic behind quantitative risk analysis, and it comes up constantly in real budget conversations, not just on the CISSP exam.

The math has a real blind spot worth knowing: ALE only prices the direct loss. It doesn't account for compliance exposure, insurance premium impact, downtime beyond the asset itself, or reputational damage - all of which can tip a "the math says no" decision the other way in practice.

Related terms: SLEAROALE

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